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U.S. Dollar/Canadian Dollar (^USDCAD)

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U.S. Dollar/Canadian Dollar Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Weighed Down by Lower Bond Yields and Strength in Stocks

The dollar index (DXY00) Thursday fell by -0.71%.  The dollar on Thursday fell back from Wednesday’s 4-month high after the FOMC cut the fed funds target range by -25 bp.  Also, lower T-note yields Thursday weakened the dollar’s interest rate differentials. In addition, Thursday’s US economic news weighed on the dollar after Q1 nonfarm productivity rose less than expected and Q1 unit labor costs rose more than expected.

On the positive side, US weekly initial unemployment claims rose less than expected, a sign of labor market strength that is hawkish for Fed policy.  The dollar also found support from hawkish comments from Fed Chair Powell, who said core inflation is still "somewhat elevated."

US weekly initial unemployment claims rose +3,000 to 221,000, showing a stronger labor market than expectations of 222,000.

US Q3 nonfarm productivity rose +2.2%, weaker than expectations of +2.5%.  Q1 unit labor costs rose +1.9%, stronger than expectations of +1.0%.

Th... Read more

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Oct 29, 2024

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
92,045 (-5,116)
266,311 (+20,455)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
194,898 (+25,828)
27,399 (-1,040)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
10,320 (+156)
219,580 (+18,533)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
164,403 (+5,626)
28,292 (+684)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
101,169 (+14,262)
20,358 (-1,648)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
6,278 (+996)
20,707 (+2,174)

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
1.36431 +1.97%
on 10/09/24
1.39823 -0.50%
on 11/01/24
+0.02651 (+1.94%)
since 10/08/24
3-Month
1.34198 +3.67%
on 09/25/24
1.39823 -0.50%
on 11/01/24
+0.01791 (+1.30%)
since 08/08/24
52-Week
1.31775 +5.58%
on 12/27/23
1.39823 -0.50%
on 11/01/24
+0.01206 (+0.87%)
since 11/08/23

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 72% Buy with a Strengthening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 1.40309
2nd Resistance Point 1.39895
1st Resistance Point 1.39252
Last Price 1.39105
1st Support Level 1.38195
2nd Support Level 1.37781
3rd Support Level 1.37138

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52-Week High 1.39823
Last Price 1.39105
Fibonacci 61.8% 1.36749
Fibonacci 50% 1.35799
Fibonacci 38.2% 1.34849
52-Week Low 1.31775

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